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Small Portfolio Changes Don’t Matter

This post examines the (shockingly small) total portfolio impact of small investment allocations.

Small Portfolio Changes Don’t Matter
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Book Summary of Superforecasting

Superforecasting is about how those top forecasters think about the world. Here are my key takeaways of the book.

Book Summary of Superforecasting
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The True Cost of Hedging S&P Downside

Hedging sounds like a smart thing to do. But has it actually worked? This post examines the historical costs and benefits of hedging stock exposure with SPY puts.

The True Cost of Hedging S&P Downside
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Analyzing Bond Performance in Stock Corrections

The table below shows the performance of bond categories during each -10% S&P 500 drawdown since 1987. VBMFX and BND for US aggregate bonds, FGOVX, VFITX, and VGIT for intermediate-term US government bonds, VWEHX and JNK for intermediate-term US high yield corporate bonds, MFBFX, VFICX, and LQD for intermediate-term

Analyzing Bond Performance in Stock Corrections
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Summarizing the Case for International Stocks

This post answers the “why” and “how much” of international stock exposure.

Summarizing the Case for International Stocks